Baseball is drowning in statistics. Every year, it seems, someone comes
up with a new calculation for showing what a player is really worth.
The BAM asked David Grabiner to identify four stats that are worth tracking and four that can safely be ignored.
Stats to Follow
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OPS On-base Plus Slugging. OPS adds a hitter’s on-base percentage (the number of times he’s reached base with a hit or a walk divided by total number of plate appearances) and his slugging percentage (total number of bases attained where a home run is valued at four, a triple is three, a double is two, and a single is one, divided by total number of at-bats). This statistic combines the two most important measures of a good hitter: getting on base and hitting for power.
WAR Wins Above Replacement. WAR combines the offensive and defensive contributions of a player and compares him to a freely available replacement player at the same position.
WPA Win Probability Added. WPA keeps track of a team’s chances of winning as a result of a batter’s or pitcher’s contribution. WPA keeps track of what players changed the probability of their team’s winning the game, so it easily shows who is most responsible for a win. Grabiner says it’s not as useful as other stats for evaluating individual players, but it does accurately capture how a team performs in a game or season.
Stats to Safely Ignore
WHIP Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched.
WHIP is found in most fantasy leagues. Hits allowed are not the
best way to evaluate a pitcher, as they depend on the defense behind
him.
RBI Runs Batted In.
RBI credits a batter for all runs that score on a hit or an out.
Grabiner believes the statistic is overrated, because it depends on
when a hitter hits and whether men are on base when he bats.
Wins The
official rules for who gets a win are many and convoluted. Wins
are often a product of how much run support a pitcher gets as opposed
to how well he pitched.
Errors Errors give an
accurate picture of how good a fielder is at converting balls he can
reach into outs, but say nothing about the far more important question
of how many balls a fielder can reach. In fact, a fielder who reaches
more balls will probably make more errors because he’ll have more
opportunities to make them.
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